Trump’s Perfect Storm that Could Sink the American Economy
Donald Trump has steered the American economy into a perfect storm. In the book, film, and now in real life, a rare combination of destructive forces comes together and magnifies the damage. This storm could break the U.S. economy. Trump’s tariffs are the most destructive force. Their first-order damages begin by arbitrarily driving up the prices of every product and… Continue reading
Is Trump Playing a Long Game to Stay Out of…
Donald Trump has a serious dilemma. If Joe Biden loses in November, he can go home and settle in as a party elder statesman, as defeated nominees have often done. But if Trump loses, he faces years of intensive investigations by Congress and, assuming he pardons himself, years of investigations by state prosecutors, likely criminal indictments, and possible conviction and…Continue reading
Donald Trump’s Big Lies about What He Has Done for…
Donald Trump and his operatives haven’t figured out how to go after Kamala Harris. Now that Joe Biden has named her to be his running mate, they are discovering she’s hard to tear down. It would come as no surprise, then, if Trump starts to double down on his famous boast: “I’ve done more for Black Americans, in fact, than…Continue reading
Trump and Senate Republicans Pose a Grave Risk to the…
The headline from last Thursday’s report by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on second quarter GDP was horrific: The economy contracted 9.5 percent from April through June. On an annual basis, GDP fell at an astounding rate of nearly 33 percent. Still, there’s another ominous aspect to the agency’s findings that has gone largely unnoted: The pandemic-driven collapse in…Continue reading
Trump is Wrong Again: U.S. Manufacturing is Not Recovering
The headline from the Commerce Department’s new report on the economy is that new shipments and new orders of durable goods by U.S .manufacturers increased at healthy rates in June – by 15 percent and 7 percent respectively. Larry Kudlow almost certainly will herald the numbers as proof that American manufacturing is back and good times are just around the…Continue reading
Investors are Doing Great in this Crisis, But What About…
Welcome to Crony Capitalism 2.0, brought to America by the Trump administration and the COVID-19 pandemic. Washington’s current approach to rescue the economy has made investors in stocks and bonds whole, even as incomes fall for most Americans. Now, only Congress can lessen that injustice—and the suffering of millions of people—and only by going big. Until the crisis ends, everyone…Continue reading
Trump’s Bungled Pandemic Response Has Badly Damaged Americans’ Incomes
Donald Trump may have normalized cognitive dissonance for many of his supporters and some young people. But wishing away the pandemic does not affect reality. The May data on personal incomes released last week by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) (BEA) is a serious wake-up call. The data show that our nearly singular failure to wrestle the pandemic to manageable…Continue reading
Is the May Unemployment Report a Case of Lying Statistics?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) surprised the markets and most economists Friday with an announcement that the unemployment rate fell from 14.7 percent in April to 13.3 percent in May. President Donald Trump had the temerity to boast that George Floyd, the unarmed black man killed by a white police officer in Minneapolis, was “looking down from heaven” to…Continue reading
The Economy Will Not Cooperate with Trump’s Re-Election
It is not surprising that the Trump administration’s top economist promised this week that huge, historic gains in jobs and growth are coming in a few months. He is not alone. Even some Democratic economists think that economic growth and jobs could come roaring back before the November election. They are wrong. The truth is that the economy’s near-term path…Continue reading